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This blog is dedicated to Orange County, CA's real estate market. Recent sales and leasing trends, hot new buildings and homes, new laws and codes effecting homeowners, links to useful service and product vendors.

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5.06.2008

Flip and Grow Poor

Many of you have seen the fun house flipping TV shows where someone gets in way over their head and losses their ass or the master "house flipper" who has made a cool hundred thousand dollars in 3 months.
The majority of "house flippers" should be called market riders. Simply because they're riding the real estate market to victory or defeat, not generating their financial future on their own. Either they'll spend too much money in the wrong neighborhood with too low of an appreciation rate for a loss or make a few bucks and dump it into their next investment deal with their fingers crossed. Eventually, when the market turns South, like it has, they'll no longer be able to generate income and most likely be stuck in a financial headache of some sort.

THE RAPE OF REGRESSION:
I cringe and cheer for the homeowner that dumps hundreds of thousands of dollars into his home in the wrong neighborhood. It's a great thing for the neighbors and can help turn a neighborhood around if it's become less desirable. However, more often than not, it's a terrible financial move.
The market value of a residential home is based off the homes in the neighborhood. If you are the most lavish home on your street, chances are that the value of your home is being pulled down by your neighbors. This is called regression in the real estate world and it's not your friend.
Although not so bad for a long term investor who has selected the right beat up, old neighborhood that's beginning to come back around, building a castle in a village is financial suicide for a short term house flipper.

THE COST OF FLIPPING:
The cost of buying, fixing up and selling a home is tremendous. real estate agent commissions, financing costs, escrow, title, notaries, appraisal, home inspections, termite inspections, repair work, cosmetic work, etc, etc...
A professional "house flipper" will calculate the cost of buying, fixing up and selling to help him/her determine whether or not there's any money to be made. It's hard to believe that someone can make money by flipping residential in just a few months, but in the right neighborhood and the right real estate market, anything is possible.

RESIDENTIAL VS COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE:
Residential real estate investments are a good tool for tax shelter and a good way to generate appreciation over the years. The value of a commercial property is determined by the cashflow it generates today. Therefore, it's a much more lucrative tool to flip short term. Lowering expenses with energy efficient investments, changing the tenant mix to better suit the current community can have a dramatic effect. Sometimes, all that's needed is to simply raise the rent to the current market price.


Written by, Evan T. Little

Realtor®, EcoBroker®
Volkl Investments Inc.
949.939.9687 phone
evan@volklinvestmentsinc.com

My other blogs:
Going "Green" in Orange County
Orange County, CA Community
Real Estate in Orange County, CA

3.14.2008

Has the Real Estate Market Hit Bottom Yet?

In Orange County, CA, I believe that we're nearly there, if not right on top of it.

New home sales and rental prices were one of my first indicators.

New home builders are the first home sellers to drastically slash prices. Their homes are rarely priced incorrectly because they're a cash flow company and must keep the income rolling in or else they're sunk. They're ahead of the price curve because of their competitiveness and need to continually be selling. Last Sunday, the Orange County Register showed new home sales up 1.9%. Meaning that they've already bottomed out. Re-sales will be soon to follow.

Lease prices have ceased in their steady climb upwards. I've seen no leases that have been leased for more then their asking price and the majority are being forced to reduce in price in order to attract potential tenants.

The inventory of well priced homes is starting to shrink and it's now common for listing agents (represent the seller) to have multiple offers from aggressive home buyers just weeks after listing the home.

Government tampering will also play a part in the economies recovery at a much greater cost to our future, but if you were to only live another 20 years or so, I suppose it'd be a good thing.

The big banks Corrupt Banks are already swallowing up other lenders and capitalizing greatly like they have done repetitively in the past.

There are of course terribly challenging obstacles that lay just around the corner. Under prepared baby boomers, run away inflation, endless and unaffordable wars, peak oil and the potential for a greater depression. So don't get too emotional about your next real estate deal! Live within your means, plan ahead and don't base your decision on the carpet color.

Don't believe in Federal Reserve conspiracies, sustaining unaffordable wars, inflation or peak oil? Visit my myspace blog HERE for links to watch online films for free now.


Written by, Evan T. Little

Realtor®, EcoBroker®
Volkl Investments Inc.
949.939.9687 phone
evan@volklinvestmentsinc.com

My other blogs:
Going "Green" in Orange County
Orange County, CA Community
Real Estate in Orange County, CA

2.01.2008

Is Prince John finished pillaging Sherwood Forest yet?

As if old Prince John hasn't had his way with the villagers for long enough. He's back at it, buying up real estate notes for pennies on a dollar. He's tricked U.S. residents and foreign investors into investing real value into an inflated market and he's cleaning up the mess with a fat, piggish smile across his face.

By real value, I'm referring to the hours you've spent working for paper money. Paper money that is backed by absolutely nothing other than how much of it is in circulation. The simple fact that it takes human time and power to dig something like silver out of the earth gives it real value.

The current mortgage crisis is about transferring your hard work to the large banks who own a controlling share in the Federal Reserve. It could be said that we're slaves to their greed for power.

In so many words, Baron Rothschild uttered the words, "Buy when there's blood in the street". The history is there for all of us to see and like Senator Mike Gravel said while in the 2007 Democratic Debates before being yanked for looking too angry about what's happening in his country, "Follow the money!"

So is Prince John finished yet? I believe the answer is overwhelmingly no.

October 15th of last year, Kathleen Casey-Kirschling applied for Social Security benefits. Kathleen is the 1st Baby Boomer in U.S. history to apply for such benefits. Big deal right? Well, more and more boomers, many unprepared, will begin to enter retirement and be forced to withdraw money from investment accounts much faster than expected. Panic will strike, markets will crash and good old Prince John will be right there waiting to pick up the pieces through each up and down for practically nothing.

I'm disgusted by working short-sales and foreclosures in our depressed real estate market because I understand I'm helping to clean up the mess and consolidate their wealth.

Read Robert Kiyosaki's, "The Prophecy". It's a basic outline as to what will most likely happen over the next 10-20 years and it doesn't even speak of run away inflation, never ending wars or peak oil!

Here are some links to free online videos that may interest you:

Rich Dad's 2008 Predictions

Fiat Empire

CLICK HERE to view video online now for free

America: Freedom to Fascism

CLICK HERE to view video online now for free



Written by, Evan T. Little

Realtor®, EcoBroker®
Volkl Investments Inc.
949.939.9687 phone
evan@volklinvestmentsinc.com

My other blogs:
Going "Green" in Orange County
Orange County, CA Community
Real Estate in Orange County, CA